CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1766c00fedce60ecbd987fcfa524d434dff8fb22fd25e43bf4cda85fbf9d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Bounty Hunters Esports, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 50c | 484.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 394.65$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 762 | 54.9%418 W · 344 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 319.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Turma do Pagode | 49c | 227.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed Turma do Pagode | 52c | 172.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 163.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Turma do Pagode | 52c | 93.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 56c | 86.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 83.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 80.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Turma do Pagode | 52c | 76.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Turma do Pagode | 52c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Turma do Pagode | 51c | 66.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Turma do Pagode | 51c | 49.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Turma do Pagode | 50c | 44.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.