CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a29da550a687a4243e2546c486180abe8c5d181e302c15fcdf4d569c121236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Bounty Hunters Esports, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Turma do Pagode | 52c | 6,838$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.05 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 2,264$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.64 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 2,128$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.3 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 1,877$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.85 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 998.67$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 692.69$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 679.09$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.96 | 500 | 55.2%276 W · 224 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 668.36$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 557.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 469$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 307$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 386 | 50.5%195 W · 191 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Turma do Pagode | 54c | 278.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 251.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 190 | 49.5%94 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 217.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…f032backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 192.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 186.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 173.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 173.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 321 | 31.8%102 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 162.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 142.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed Turma do Pagode | 56c | 142.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Turma do Pagode | 52c | 134.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 645 | 48.4%312 W · 333 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 109.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 106.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 870 | 55.9%486 W · 384 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 75.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 74.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Turma do Pagode | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 71.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 69.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 762 | 54.9%418 W · 344 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 65.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 529 | 52.7%279 W · 250 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…1cfabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 65.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Turma do Pagode | 59c | 63.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 33c | 57.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 56.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 346 | 57.5%199 W · 147 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Turma do Pagode | 67c | 54.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 54.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Turma do Pagode | 61c | 53.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Turma do Pagode | 72c | 47.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 47.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…106fbacked Turma do Pagode | 45c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Turma do Pagode | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 299 | 50.8%152 W · 147 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…3502backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 39.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Turma do Pagode | 76c | 39.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 39.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Turma do Pagode | 70c | 35.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 35.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 34.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 446 | 56.1%250 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 33.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…81b9backed Turma do Pagode | 74c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 49.8%113 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Turma do Pagode | 70c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 501 | 42.1%211 W · 290 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…16f5backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 22.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…df3bbacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 19.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.