Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Tristan Boyer vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6057af1e2813426ccdb3fb44099e82574ac2d5cc1ca13deb0c9cad20f4ff2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boyerof Boyer, Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Passaro | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Boyer | 41c | 848.38$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.82 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Passaro | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Passaro | 66c | 744$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boyer | 35c | 703.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boyer | 40c | 669.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.18 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Boyer | 36c | 599.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed Boyer | 57c | 535.57$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3,162.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boyer | 33c | 298.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Passaro | 21c | 270.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Boyer | 57c | 227.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boyer | 44c | 226.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Passaro | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boyer | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Boyer | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Boyer | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Boyer | 51c | 171.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Passaro | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Boyer | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Passaro | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boyer | 51c | 78.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…e6c6backed Boyer | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Passaro | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Boyer | 61c | 42.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…383abacked Boyer | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Boyer | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Passaro | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Tristan Boyer vs Francesco Passarothis page
- Boyer vs. Passaro: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.