Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c558a250ce29a2cab03309d9b495ae4bafeb4851959e441e88d0145e4f44855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 1,001$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 794.64$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 23c | 517.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 41c | 473.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 459.85$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 262.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 247.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…94ecbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 234.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 73c | 202.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 11c | 192.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 10c | 165.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 164.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 156.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 127.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 101.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 99.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 82.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 75c | 79.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 60c | 77.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 70.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 36c | 68.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 67.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 69c | 63.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 59.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 57c | 54.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 38c | 50.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked No | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 62c | 43.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 61c | 43.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 29c | 40.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 50c | 35.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…9c37backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 62c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 62c | 29.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 23.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.