Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Korea Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdd1fdbd2da16696c6d3016a1cdcc822b827a78ccaea5e87f7cd4fe90339db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 14,211$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 7,276$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 7,013$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,420$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,978$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 6c | 2,505$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 4c | 2,016$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 1,733$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,206$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,090$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…0b66backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…d046backed Yes | 4c | 991.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e891backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…6575backed Yes | 5c | 574.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 544.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 519.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 3c | 465.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 4c | 418.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…5442backed Yes | 4c | 336$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 3c | 330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Korea Republic?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.