Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e87b99db2725efa5283411c445c2ec778c00b84777c9e734b3c06c8aeceef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 53,221$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.91 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 3c | 49,999$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 33,865$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed Yes | 3c | 7,087$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 5,575$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…a6c0backed Yes | 2c | 5,280$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…95a2backed Yes | 4c | 3,820$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 3c | 3,729$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 3c | 3,593$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,407$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…2e05backed Yes | 3c | 3,365$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 3c | 3,212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 3c | 3,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,361$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,354$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 4c | 2,212$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,178$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…fa8cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,661$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5816backed Yes | 3c | 1,520$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0c3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…c068backed Yes | 2c | 1,325$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Yes | 4c | 1,302$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e891backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 3c | 996.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 3c | 969.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…c72ebacked Yes | 3c | 967.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 944$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 3c | 875$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 3c | 850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 3c | 835.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 2c | 765.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 3c | 757.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 3c | 740.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…be77backed Yes | 3c | 638.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336c…af5dbacked Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 3c | 620.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…b7d8backed Yes | 2c | 620$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…7c06backed Yes | 3c | 601.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…26eebacked Yes | 3c | 578.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 3c | 554.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 3c | 533.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 3c | 526.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 4c | 489.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 480.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…77e3backed Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 3c | 441.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…5ac4backed Yes | 3c | 441.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 3c | 378.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…54fbbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…4169backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7d…8403backed Yes | 3c | 323.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5292backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.