Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04412847bc7d3ef1137c2244814ba388128d566283d288f2a7e4c5394d37f79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 14,223$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.76 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 14,100$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 8c | 8,582$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.52 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 8c | 6,749$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 6c | 3,825$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,812$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 3,077$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 7c | 2,871$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,955$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 1,486$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 1,259$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b04…b1bfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,046$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 7c | 999.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 7c | 750$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 432.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 8c | 355.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 8c | 324$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 7c | 315.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 315.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 10c | 312.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 7c | 292.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 7c | 284.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 8c | 263.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 261.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3034backed Yes | 7c | 240.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…ce2fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…9977backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 7c | 177.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 7c | 158.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 7c | 150.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 8c | 136.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.