Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5188831acd0d92271fe8c9f25f28743cf443e1854527c367d962a1ab95cbd61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 2c | 82,700$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.8 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 39,654$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 13,789$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,683$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 2c | 4,700$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,504$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fd94backed Yes | 2c | 4,078$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes | 2c | 3,891$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,573$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…56d0backed Yes | 2c | 3,417$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -43%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,301$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 2c | 2,395$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…741cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,181$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…89b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,558$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…3d14backed Yes | 2c | 1,443$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…9242backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9ff3backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 2c | 670$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…8b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Yes | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 2c | 584$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…a226backed Yes | 2c | 545.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…e887backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…8b2bbacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…2c81backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…0474backed Yes | 4c | 390.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?No won
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.