Tennis · resolved market
ITF Messina: Giacomo Crisostomo vs Vito Antonio Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d17f8a989d81c08276b9306fd0052042714ebcc87b48f8df0c391144a9fb8f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giacomo Crisostomoof Giacomo Crisostomo, Vito Antonio Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 62c | 2,989$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 46c | 2,642$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 66c | 1,235$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.41 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 27c | 1,177$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.66 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 75c | 1,059$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.59 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 33c | 772.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.1 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 52c | 611.88$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 33c | 314$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 66c | 290.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 38c | 289.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 17c | 256.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 32c | 168.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 43c | 156.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 34c | 151.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 59c | 147.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 22c | 144.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 34c | 139.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…f0a4backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…0232backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…716abacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 22c | 55.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 63c | 46.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 53c | 40.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 56c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 67c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.