Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d43d2850ec7bb451b217d31519b96cddf2481fa2a8ab5dcd50c19e84293dcbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,449$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…66a5backed No | 1c | 2,317$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 10c | 1,215$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 3c | 695.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 477.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 66c | 367.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…6898backed No | 3c | 363.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 350.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 328.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…8189backed No | 10c | 327.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 29c | 279.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 62c | 270.1$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed No | 7c | 252.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 29c | 242.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 7c | 228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 28c | 227.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 24c | 212.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 204.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 7c | 182.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 46c | 165.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 16c | 164.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 147.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 16c | 147.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 72c | 146.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 9c | 136.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 122.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 115.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 27c | 110.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fa82backed No | 20c | 106.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…76afbacked No | 66c | 103.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…bbccbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…3d11backed No | 19c | 98.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 34c | 97.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 68c | 95.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 35c | 93.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 67c | 93.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 36c | 91.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 51c | 90.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 78.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…ab28backed No | 17c | 77.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 19c | 77.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 37c | 73.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 48c | 69.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 19c | 69.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…b651backed Yes | 39c | 67.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 68c | 67.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 28c | 66.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 77c | 64.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…093dbacked Yes | 30c | 62.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 58.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 25c | 58.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 47c | 55.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…835cbacked No | 71c | 55.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 44c | 54.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 70c | 52.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 76c | 51.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 48.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…e8b4backed Yes | 34c | 43.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…ae1dbacked Yes | 32c | 41.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 34c | 40.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 44c | 36.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…4e56backed Yes | 78c | 34.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 69c | 28.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 64c | 27.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 67c | 27.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 69c | 26.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 64c | 25.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 70c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…1981backed Yes | 55c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked No | 67c | 24.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 45c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 58c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…ef70backed No | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 19.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…4bf4backed No | 71c | 17.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…fe1bbacked Yes | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…f1d8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 71cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.