WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4eff1bafc103aa000f5bad696feaf7db2d332032439239ba62890a37745908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 74c | 1,371$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.28 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 23c | 1,328$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wings | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 49c | 818$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked Sparks | 72c | 618.06$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 31c | 603.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wings | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sparks | 58c | 341.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wings | 27c | 301.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Sparks | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wings | 43c | 224$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Sparks | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wings | 51c | 174.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Wings | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Sparks | 62c | 134.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Wings | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sparks | 66c | 98.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sparks | 56c | 83.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Wings | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Sparks | 61c | 66.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Wings | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Wings | 43c | 42.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Wings | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sparks | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.