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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs T1 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of DRX, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed T157c2,532$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.0895849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed DRX49c1,225$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6613748.9%67 W · 70 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DRX45c1,100$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.139842%167 W · 231 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed DRX23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed DRX39c520$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.223348.9%114 W · 119 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed T155c443.5$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5822755.5%126 W · 101 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed T157c415.3$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.539953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed DRX48c312.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6117…29ffbacked T158c293.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked DRX50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed T155c255.81$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2648747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed DRX30c252.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked T177c225$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.754650%23 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed T174c205.74$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.269282.6%76 W · 16 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked DRX27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5435247.2%166 W · 186 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed DRX48c190.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6626854.1%145 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked DRX50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-46.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T155c169.34$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7542747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX48c156.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.191,43451.1%733 W · 701 L+48.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked DRX30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed T155c133.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9355442.2%234 W · 320 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked DRX42c120.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7872043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked T152c119.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0379944.3%354 W · 445 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked T151c110.21$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9219344.6%86 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed T173c108$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2825845.3%117 W · 141 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked T164c105.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.881,62945%733 W · 896 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed DRX50c104.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2112455.6%69 W · 55 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T159c103$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7483335.2%293 W · 540 L-60.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed T151c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked T168c86.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7252444.7%234 W · 290 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked DRX35c74.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3741231.6%130 W · 282 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked DRX40c62.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7259150.8%300 W · 291 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked DRX24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521246.2%98 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed DRX50c61.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.675038%19 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed T163c59.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.714951%76 W · 73 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed T158c55.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.341,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed T154c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2515446.1%71 W · 83 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed DRX51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed DRX36c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98135.8%29 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed T149c48.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9810949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed DRX47c47.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1566047.3%312 W · 348 L-18.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed DRX50c44.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed DRX50c44.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed T177c44.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2712871.1%91 W · 37 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked DRX49c41.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked T150c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed DRX44c38.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.017057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked T180c36.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed DRX55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed T169c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2311459.6%68 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked DRX38c34.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136731.3%21 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed DRX45c30.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8728156.2%158 W · 123 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9c…fd70backed T155c30.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked T148c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed DRX34c29.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024639.8%98 W · 148 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T153c27.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151,39647.3%661 W · 735 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed DRX70c24.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.433056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed T160c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked T175c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.