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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs T1 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of DRX, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d2…4850backed DRX29c2,745$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.1714951%76 W · 73 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DRX19c1,026$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.395849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked T170c537.48$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9652444.7%234 W · 290 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked T166c504.96$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.161,43451.1%733 W · 701 L+48.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed T163c440$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1634562.2%28 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed DRX7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122917.5%40 W · 189 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed DRX30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023348.9%114 W · 119 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked DRX35c288.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012549.6%62 W · 63 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed T170c275$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.513748.9%67 W · 70 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed DRX36c274.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5529045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed T164c221.76$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.835038%19 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked T160c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked DRX12c199.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.947634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked T175c188$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed T164c173.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3844459.5%264 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked T176c164.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9941355.2%228 W · 185 L+19.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed DRX38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6125845.3%117 W · 141 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX17c147.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7661622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed DRX23c146.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.234746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…dd67backed DRX30c135.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T167c122$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2583335.2%293 W · 540 L-60.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked DRX23c111.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.271,62945%733 W · 896 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed T172c105.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x078f…95febacked T172c105.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked T165c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3539648.5%192 W · 204 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…cf59backed DRX18c96.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked T166c96.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2385737.9%325 W · 532 L-53.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed DRX18c93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.684148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed T165c91.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.799953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked T163c75.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.963056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked T164c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3135956%201 W · 158 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed T164c69.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.193132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked T164c66.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0821246.2%98 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T172c65.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2542747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked DRX42c64.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1372043.3%312 W · 408 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked DRX36c63.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2253…e358backed DRX38c59.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked T172c58.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4592933.2%308 W · 621 L-91.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked T164c57.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8119344.6%86 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked T175c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7859150.8%300 W · 291 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed DRX28c54.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4424639.8%98 W · 148 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked T176c52.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7628361.5%174 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13bd…a6c5backed T164c46.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed T164c46.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.793040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed T164c46.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.793455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DRX38c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked T178c38.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4210566.7%70 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked T175c36.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2318461.4%113 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed T167c34.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6312871.1%91 W · 37 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed T174c31.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed T164c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed T164c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.166240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed T175c24.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.142365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed T173c23.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.272864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e3…2216backed T164c21.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.885273.1%38 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked T172c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.