Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e51a349ba9fbc69896bc11c5e0dc52651f8e68c22e4c2bac3380c383ea46622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 41c | 3,645$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 2,051$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.58 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,952$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.39 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 1,562$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.96 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 1,216$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 1,159$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 59c | 1,035$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 746.54$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 667.27$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 576.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 58c | 545.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 490.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…295abacked Over | 40c | 443.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 68c | 430$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 59c | 337.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 59c | 336.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 45c | 327.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 33c | 301.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 280.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 44c | 256$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +11.0wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 51c | 204.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…bbeebacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…d2cbbacked Under | 45c | 198.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 57c | 175.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 145.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…5a78backed Over | 72c | 120.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 108.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 59c | 104.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 103.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7698backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 59c | 101.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 78c | 76.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 61c | 75.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845f…4140backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 57c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 41c | 62.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 62.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 49c | 60.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 40c | 58.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 41c | 54.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…13cebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…412ebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 59c | 43.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…0318backed Under | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…2e69backed Under | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 45c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 31.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 44c | 29.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 26.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 20.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Jeju SK FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.