Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6b992782f82b34efb10848dc5e0eb0058cf5ca3dfc1683501b22542897f391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariano Navoneof Mariano Navone, Shintaro Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,211 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 4,330$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 2,300$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 1,987$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,646$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.88 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 1,438$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone | 66c | 1,284$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 1,227$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.62 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 998.99$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 898.64$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Mariano Navone | 64c | 833$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 782.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariano Navone | 77c | 691.18$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 16c | 626.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 534$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariano Navone | 69c | 480.77$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mariano Navone | 61c | 400$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 363.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 330$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 314.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 260.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 242.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 17c | 235.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 6c | 211.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 210.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 205.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 197.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 183.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Mariano Navone | 61c | 165.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mariano Navone | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 25c | 158.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 157.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 123.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 123.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 103.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…54d2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 17c | 101.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 98.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 89.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 88.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 20c | 87.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…567bbacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 17c | 79.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 78.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 77.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 24c | 74.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 17c | 73.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 67.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariano Navone | 74c | 56.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Mariano Navone | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 47.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 47.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Mariano Navone | 65c | 45.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 34.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 34.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Mariano Navone | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 31.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…0de5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mariano Navone | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Mariano Navone | 64c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Mariano Navone | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Mariano Navone | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Shintaro Mochizukithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs MochizukiNavone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.