South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6e0e3b850edc550dfd8e7cf78488ff997d323f91cb3f2130ded2da0472701b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 11,916$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.11 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…629bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 5,497$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 4,372$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 42c | 3,059$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.86 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 2,686$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 2,545$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.02 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 2,146$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.43 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 1,835$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 47c | 1,644$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.74 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 46c | 1,540$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.61 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 34c | 894.48$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 670.48$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed No | 51c | 651.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 34c | 638.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked No | 55c | 372.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 66c | 369.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 280.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 246.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 234.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 68c | 216.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 43c | 207.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 193.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…f1a7backed Yes | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 43c | 166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 140.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 54c | 130.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 45c | 127.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 39c | 127.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes | 41c | 119.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed No | 53c | 99.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…8af4backed No | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 39c | 74.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 45c | 69.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 21c | 65.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 64.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 39c | 49.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 43.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 42.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Yes | 48c | 41.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 44c | 39.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 35c | 37.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 34.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 34.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 51c | 34.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 59c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 41c | 31.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 35c | 31.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 55c | 30.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…7248backed Yes | 66c | 29.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 62c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 52c | 27.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed Yes | 44c | 26.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 55c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.