Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e78364ed81efdff04be68634b9fcc0bf99fa6513ecab1a66c317037fed8d8bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Davidson Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Davidson Wildcats | 18c | 3,512$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.13 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 65c | 2,722$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Davidson Wildcats | 32c | 1,860$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Davidson Wildcats | 18c | 1,678$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Davidson Wildcats | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Davidson Wildcats | 30c | 575.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Davidson Wildcats | 30c | 574$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed VCU Rams | 69c | 559.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.59 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Davidson Wildcats | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats | 39c | 537.89$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Davidson Wildcats | 24c | 364.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed VCU Rams | 68c | 353$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed VCU Rams | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Davidson Wildcats | 19c | 314.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VCU Rams | 80c | 244.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked VCU Rams | 77c | 234.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 45c | 223.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked VCU Rams | 75c | 213.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 40c | 188.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed VCU Rams | 66c | 152.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…6146backed Davidson Wildcats | 56c | 147.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 68c | 131$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Davidson Wildcats | 24c | 109.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked VCU Rams | 69c | 103.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Davidson Wildcats | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Davidson Wildcats | 32c | 77.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked VCU Rams | 71c | 76.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed VCU Rams | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed VCU Rams | 76c | 62.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Davidson Wildcats | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 60.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 30c | 59.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed VCU Rams | 73c | 55.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Davidson Wildcats | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…2d77backed Davidson Wildcats | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Davidson Wildcats | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Davidson Wildcats | 32c | 37.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Davidson Wildcats | 33c | 36.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VCU Rams | 73c | 35.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed VCU Rams | 54c | 32.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked VCU Rams | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed VCU Rams | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked VCU Rams | 51c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed VCU Rams | 58c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked VCU Rams | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked VCU Rams | 60c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed VCU Rams | 75c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.