NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eafcd3f5ec270efac168efe18f1b9b99742b409fee9c0cae9e378e8f0f86875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Penguins, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 3,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 607.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 45c | 486.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 3c | 477$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 41c | 350$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 311.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Penguins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings | 53c | 263.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 47c | 248$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Penguins | 46c | 229.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 60c | 227.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Penguins | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 211.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Red Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Penguins | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Red Wings | 54c | 184.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Red Wings | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 46c | 88.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…ef01backed Red Wings | 53c | 81.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Red Wings | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Penguins | 28c | 73.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Penguins | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 52c | 60.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…1d95backed Red Wings | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…d2c1backed Penguins | 46c | 55.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c3…b759backed Penguins | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…3c08backed Red Wings | 54c | 53.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…0aaebacked Red Wings | 54c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…7174backed Penguins | 46c | 51.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Penguins | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Penguins | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Penguins | 48c | 49.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…fa2abacked Penguins | 47c | 48.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Red Wings | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…acdbbacked Penguins | 47c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…cf3abacked Penguins | 46c | 44.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…4346backed Red Wings | 54c | 43.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…3931backed Red Wings | 54c | 43.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…2b03backed Red Wings | 54c | 43.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…4c77backed Red Wings | 52c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…e004backed Red Wings | 54c | 42.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…f82bbacked Penguins | 46c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…447ebacked Penguins | 46c | 42.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…ccb6backed Red Wings | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf220…6924backed Penguins | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80d…90afbacked Penguins | 47c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…6e97backed Penguins | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…9278backed Red Wings | 54c | 40.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…7eaebacked Red Wings | 54c | 40.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…efa4backed Penguins | 46c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…8087backed Penguins | 46c | 39.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…fe05backed Red Wings | 54c | 39.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…ef26backed Red Wings | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…2bd7backed Red Wings | 54c | 38.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…ff48backed Penguins | 47c | 38.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…40a4backed Penguins | 46c | 38.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…c7c0backed Penguins | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…c053backed Red Wings | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…4225backed Red Wings | 54c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…3ed7backed Penguins | 47c | 37.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…6e3fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 37.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…bdf8backed Red Wings | 54c | 37.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…75efbacked Red Wings | 53c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…3036backed Penguins | 47c | 36.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…0c47backed Penguins | 46c | 36.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…aa1fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 36.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…97ddbacked Penguins | 46c | 35.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…22f6backed Red Wings | 54c | 35.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995b…d384backed Penguins | 46c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…3a9ebacked Red Wings | 54c | 35.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…8e65backed Red Wings | 54c | 35.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee48…8768backed Penguins | 46c | 35.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…89f4backed Red Wings | 54c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e0e2backed Penguins | 46c | 35.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…ffebbacked Penguins | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…9ce9backed Penguins | 46c | 34.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Red Wings | 57c | 34.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…0422backed Penguins | 46c | 34.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…7801backed Red Wings | 54c | 34.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…d3f2backed Red Wings | 54c | 33.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221e…e4dbbacked Red Wings | 53c | 33.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…3a6abacked Red Wings | 54c | 32.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…b1bfbacked Penguins | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0fcabacked Penguins | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings | 58c | 32.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…58b5backed Penguins | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…7a4dbacked Penguins | 48c | 31.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…7db2backed Red Wings | 52c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…3bbfbacked Red Wings | 54c | 31.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…26d4backed Red Wings | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…22d7backed Red Wings | 54c | 31.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…a67bbacked Penguins | 46c | 31.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…03bbbacked Red Wings | 54c | 30.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…e296backed Red Wings | 54c | 30.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…6322backed Penguins | 47c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…1b97backed Red Wings | 54c | 29.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…214bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 28.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…580bbacked Penguins | 46c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.