Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Anton Arzhankin vs Simeon Stankovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ecf8463cef016eb79054316db4ac5f996256936f8acacf8368706de4642b6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Arzhankinof Anton Arzhankin, Simeon Stankovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anton Arzhankin | 51c | 980.48$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.68 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Simeon Stankovic | 50c | 308.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Simeon Stankovic | 47c | 307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Simeon Stankovic | 49c | 300.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Simeon Stankovic | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Simeon Stankovic | 54c | 186.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Simeon Stankovic | 54c | 177.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anton Arzhankin | 47c | 129.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anton Arzhankin | 51c | 108$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Simeon Stankovic | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anton Arzhankin | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anton Arzhankin | 46c | 74.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Anton Arzhankin | 47c | 63.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Anton Arzhankin | 44c | 59.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Simeon Stankovic | 49c | 51.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Anton Arzhankin | 45c | 50.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anton Arzhankin | 48c | 45.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Anton Arzhankin | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Simeon Stankovic | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anton Arzhankin | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Anton Arzhankin | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anton Arzhankin | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…c111backed Anton Arzhankin | 50c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Simeon Stankovic | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.