Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open, Qualification: Marco Cecchinato vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0220d509187f5d3db001722a708e6ac43a39e5d14b1ba3a98494e4675cc60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 24c | 2,958$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 2,649$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.76 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 9c | 1,233$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 24c | 916.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 12c | 775.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 11c | 655.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 540$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 10c | 363.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 25c | 346.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marco Cecchinato | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 208$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 20c | 201.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 182.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 13c | 137.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 124.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 106.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marco Cecchinato | 75c | 98.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 25c | 83.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 14c | 75.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 54.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 50.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Marco Cecchinato | 79c | 50.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 25c | 48.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 46.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 33.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 31.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Marco Cecchinato | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Marco Cecchinato | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 20.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…79d1backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open, Qualification: Marco Cecchinato vs Genaro Alberto Olivierithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cecchinato vs OlivieriCecchinato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.