Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Savannah Broadus vs Fangran Tian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7930a39aab61860612dfedc6266333f67a921e87258d15764c09753f99b4d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Savannah Broadusof Savannah Broadus, Fangran Tian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Savannah Broadus | 60c | 1,435$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.8 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fangran Tian | 71c | 1,290$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.32 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…33cfbacked Fangran Tian | 67c | 1,031$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Savannah Broadus | 33c | 964.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.97 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fangran Tian | 41c | 814.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fangran Tian | 42c | 485.58$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.21 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Savannah Broadus | 64c | 364.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fangran Tian | 36c | 362.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Savannah Broadus | 63c | 311.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 368 | 47.8%176 W · 192 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fangran Tian | 37c | 286.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Savannah Broadus | 53c | 253.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fangran Tian | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 586 | 48.5%284 W · 302 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Savannah Broadus | 54c | 180.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 1,058 | 40.9%433 W · 625 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Savannah Broadus | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Fangran Tian | 42c | 158.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1,857 | 41%762 W · 1,095 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fangran Tian | 44c | 138.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Savannah Broadus | 50c | 136.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Savannah Broadus | 51c | 92.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1,136 | 50%568 W · 568 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…8e55backed Fangran Tian | 63c | 86.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fangran Tian | 58c | 78.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Savannah Broadus | 58c | 63.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Savannah Broadus | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 2,145 | 56%1,201 W · 944 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Savannah Broadus | 49c | 57.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fangran Tian | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Fangran Tian | 63c | 49.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fangran Tian | 43c | 48.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Savannah Broadus | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Fangran Tian | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Savannah Broadus | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Fangran Tian | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fangran Tian | 47c | 33.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Fangran Tian | 75c | 32.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 171 | 73.7%126 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Fangran Tian | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Savannah Broadus | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.