Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f85413e2a5a5e9cb3292ae941e6da756205aef7d7ab06ec4465d86676ac70ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Kumstatof Jan Kumstat, Sumit Nagal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Sumit Nagal | 1c | 14,210$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Jan Kumstat | 66c | 5,350$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.16 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Jan Kumstat | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.98 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sumit Nagal | 33c | 4,497$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 4,370$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Jan Kumstat | 67c | 3,685$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.16 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Jan Kumstat | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sumit Nagal | 1c | 2,420$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jan Kumstat | 76c | 2,098$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.51 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Sumit Nagal | 33c | 1,895$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.39 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sumit Nagal | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Jan Kumstat | 65c | 1,769$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.23 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jan Kumstat | 63c | 1,755$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sumit Nagal | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sumit Nagal | 4c | 1,531$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sumit Nagal | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 1,153$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.2 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sumit Nagal | 3c | 900.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 710$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 685.56$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sumit Nagal | 6c | 655.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 591.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Kumstat | 65c | 430.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jan Kumstat | 79c | 422$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sumit Nagal | 33c | 377.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sumit Nagal | 6c | 354.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 289.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 264.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 245.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Jan Kumstat | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Sumit Nagal | 37c | 201.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 179.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jan Kumstat | 78c | 176$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Jan Kumstat | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 151.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Jan Kumstat | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 144.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sumit Nagal | 35c | 141.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Sumit Nagal | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 132.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sumit Nagal | 36c | 127.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sumit Nagal | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…20aebacked Jan Kumstat | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Sumit Nagal | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Sumit Nagal | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Jan Kumstat | 67c | 91.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Jan Kumstat | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Jan Kumstat | 64c | 75.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 74.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sumit Nagal | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 52.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Sumit Nagal | 35c | 47.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Jan Kumstat | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 44.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Jan Kumstat | 67c | 44.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.6wins | +0.38per pick | 57cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jan Kumstat | 65c | 43.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Sumit Nagal | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Sumit Nagal | 35c | 33.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Jan Kumstat | 64c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Sumit Nagal | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Jan Kumstat | 62c | 29.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Jan Kumstat | 64c | 29.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sumit Nagal | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Jan Kumstat | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…05ffbacked Jan Kumstat | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.