Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fef5780054dd66680b368380c3eb2cf157c90e78d329ed53b437715fd63d1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Maria Sakkari, Elena Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Sakkari | 7c | 57,629$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maria Sakkari | 2c | 15,930$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Sakkari | 11c | 12,636$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Maria Sakkari | 5c | 10,914$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…4683backed Maria Sakkari | 6c | 9,592$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Sakkari | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Sakkari | 6c | 5,000$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Maria Sakkari | 0c | 4,491$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Maria Sakkari | 5c | 3,074$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 3,040$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.19 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Sakkari | 8c | 2,629$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Maria Sakkari | 11c | 2,299$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Sakkari | 8c | 1,514$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Maria Sakkari | 12c | 1,346$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 1,322$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Maria Sakkari | 7c | 1,279$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Maria Sakkari | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 769.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 727.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Maria Sakkari | 13c | 619.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Maria Sakkari | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Maria Sakkari | 14c | 581.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 548.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 545.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Sakkari | 8c | 501.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Maria Sakkari | 14c | 456$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Maria Sakkari | 8c | 389.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 270.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Maria Sakkari | 5c | 253.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…1dcbbacked Maria Sakkari | 8c | 211.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Maria Sakkari | 13c | 211$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Maria Sakkari | 6c | 198.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Maria Sakkari | 14c | 195.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Maria Sakkari | 14c | 187$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Sakkari | 11c | 174.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Maria Sakkari | 11c | 146.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Maria Sakkari | 12c | 145.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maria Sakkari | 15c | 137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Maria Sakkari | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Maria Sakkari | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 114.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked Maria Sakkari | 14c | 109.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Maria Sakkari | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 92.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Maria Sakkari | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Maria Sakkari | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs RybakinaRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.