Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff2920519abbaa87c076cf3f9f91a3fe23d7713c8365af0a17458f740d31c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 6,786$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.01 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 24c | 2,860$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.19 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 1,271$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.52 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,147$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 73c | 1,147$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 754.94$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 24c | 450.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 355.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 58c | 320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 32c | 274.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 77c | 259.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 229.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 226.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 27c | 224.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 33c | 191.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 30c | 169.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 140.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 77c | 129.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 29c | 128.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 72c | 105.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 68c | 102$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 99.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 83.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…5597backed Yes | 33c | 81.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 80.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 25c | 69.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 56.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 26c | 55.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 76c | 54.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Yes | 28c | 45.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 72c | 41.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 41.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 37.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 61c | 28.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 68c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 26.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 74c | 20.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 76c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.