Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6886c32ff6d99c7bf4e4f82587ed13aa0ee0c1ade183f5bc1ade0943bcbaef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 7,932$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.79 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 15c | 6,287$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.14 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 6,151$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.66 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,549$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.31 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 3,429$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.28 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 70c | 2,780$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,043$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,428$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.46 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed No | 40c | 1,242$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 905.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 856.64$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 796$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 674.93$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 615.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 513.9$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 32c | 447.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 69c | 442.79$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 32c | 441.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 70c | 403$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 76c | 395.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed No | 69c | 384.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 384.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 35c | 376.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 36c | 342$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 41c | 265.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 49c | 247.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 203.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 171$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 73c | 163$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 27c | 163$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 157.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 69c | 156.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…c0b9backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 37c | 146.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 30c | 124.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…67c3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 112.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…92dbbacked No | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…f455backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked No | 72c | 88.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 44c | 88.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 30c | 87.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 70c | 78.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 76.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 15c | 73.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 57.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 23c | 47.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 42c | 40.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 42c | 32.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 31c | 32.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 31.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Yes | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 61c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Yes | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.