Cricket · resolved market
T20 South American Championship: Mexico vs Panama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604ea9fb7c56c35718191d5f6b8728656dc1ddf692dccaf6656bcaee00826bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Mexico, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd348…0265backed Panama | 79c | 1,374$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama | 32c | 1,279$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.46 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico | 67c | 706.54$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.7 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mexico | 52c | 604.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.34 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mexico | 30c | 517.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mexico | 47c | 308.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Mexico | 62c | 294$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…9d52backed Mexico | 38c | 261.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Panama | 64c | 229.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Mexico | 51c | 204.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panama | 53c | 182.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mexico | 21c | 168.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mexico | 64c | 155.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Mexico | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mexico | 35c | 129.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Panama | 34c | 108.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mexico | 69c | 104$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Panama | 38c | 96.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Mexico | 68c | 95.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mexico | 67c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mexico | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Mexico | 22c | 73.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mexico | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Panama | 62c | 56.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Mexico | 67c | 56.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mexico | 28c | 51.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mexico | 45c | 49.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Mexico | 39c | 47.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Panama | 54c | 46.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Mexico | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Panama | 32c | 37.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Panama | 50c | 37.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked Mexico | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Panama | 38c | 35.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Panama | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.