CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Strael-Bora (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60cf43d6b46f5b9ec23750e6048ffc7f0b229c698c4d756699c3250b25208f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Strael-Bora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x975f…995bbacked Strael-Bora | 42c | 2,585$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 2,382$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.59 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 1,730$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.21 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…8bf7backed Strael-Bora | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Strael-Bora | 35c | 896.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Strael-Bora | 6c | 896$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 803.59$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Strael-Bora | 43c | 503.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 474.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Strael-Bora | 37c | 373.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 356.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Strael-Bora | 31c | 297.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Strael-Bora | 31c | 272.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Strael-Bora | 14c | 259.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 247.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 163$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Strael-Bora | 38c | 134$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Strael-Bora | 38c | 106.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Strael-Bora | 24c | 87.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Strael-Bora | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 81.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Strael-Bora | 35c | 80.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 75.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 73.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 69.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…6a9dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 57.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 53.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Strael-Bora | 27c | 41.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Strael-Bora | 30c | 39.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Strael-Bora | 30c | 35.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 28.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…15a7backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.