Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d4829f004404f3999dc2db65739f146a3e2242e2a9164d811c45163824dce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd231…8c11backed No | 79c | 825.91$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 63c | 543.9$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 397.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 263.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 259.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 56c | 258$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 59c | 242.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 51c | 239.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 49c | 222.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 37c | 187.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 58c | 180.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed No | 10c | 157.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 51c | 144.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 16c | 126.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 29c | 122.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 45c | 116.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 58c | 100.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 97.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 52c | 95.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 52c | 83.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 58c | 78.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 73.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 48c | 68.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…5d76backed Yes | 78c | 63.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 61.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked Yes | 77c | 57.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…cd42backed No | 36c | 56.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 39c | 53.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 56c | 52.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 45c | 49.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…2b23backed No | 41c | 43.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…a4e8backed Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 53c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked No | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 41c | 37.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 36.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 36c | 34.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 52c | 34.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 34.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 45c | 31.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…b050backed No | 55c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 61c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 57c | 22.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 66c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…2ce9backed Yes | 73c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 61c | 17.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.