Tennis · resolved market
Figueira Da Foz: Elena Micic vs Francisca Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6162c2ed1d9af7f884726e92c025e42d8f440480c0e96a3e40b618fa4b79d1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Micicof Elena Micic, Francisca Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francisca Jorge | 45c | 12,874$5,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Francisca Jorge | 52c | 6,469$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.3 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elena Micic | 79c | 5,151$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Francisca Jorge | 57c | 4,282$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.55 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Micic | 48c | 3,463$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Elena Micic | 31c | 3,433$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.61 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Elena Micic | 27c | 2,790$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.81 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Elena Micic | 76c | 2,469$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.54 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Elena Micic | 15c | 1,985$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.48 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Francisca Jorge | 2c | 1,210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Francisca Jorge | 66c | 1,185$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Francisca Jorge | 3c | 1,095$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Francisca Jorge | 4c | 915$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Elena Micic | 52c | 890$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Francisca Jorge | 4c | 855$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elena Micic | 42c | 786.54$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 703.09$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Francisca Jorge | 52c | 527.2$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Elena Micic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Elena Micic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Elena Micic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Elena Micic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…c0c0backed Elena Micic | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Elena Micic | 59c | 499.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Micic | 14c | 456.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francisca Jorge | 69c | 447.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Francisca Jorge | 28c | 395.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elena Micic | 75c | 378.54$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francisca Jorge | 66c | 322.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elena Micic | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Elena Micic | 45c | 230.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Elena Micic | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Elena Micic | 36c | 214.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Elena Micic | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Francisca Jorge | 62c | 189.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francisca Jorge | 78c | 167.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Francisca Jorge | 58c | 165.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Elena Micic | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Francisca Jorge | 54c | 135.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Elena Micic | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 120.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elena Micic | 25c | 118$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Elena Micic | 30c | 113.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Elena Micic | 47c | 109.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Francisca Jorge | 49c | 107.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Elena Micic | 56c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Francisca Jorge | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisca Jorge | 69c | 72.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Francisca Jorge | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Francisca Jorge | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Francisca Jorge | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elena Micic | 26c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Elena Micic | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Elena Micic | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elena Micic | 68c | 54.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Francisca Jorge | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed Francisca Jorge | 52c | 50.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Elena Micic | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisca Jorge | 27c | 45.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Elena Micic | 48c | 45.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elena Micic | 51c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Francisca Jorge | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Elena Micic | 39c | 30.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Francisca Jorge | 41c | 24.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Francisca Jorge | 66c | 21.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Elena Micic | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Elena Micic | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Francisca Jorge | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Francisca Jorge | 60c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Elena Micic | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.