Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619778786c79604a9a80277c453384a88d53705447f854b6d91b96a90d28cde4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 2,034$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.99 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 52c | 1,566$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.29 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 995.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.29 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 49c | 816.12$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.15 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 51c | 624.01$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 48c | 467.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 333.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 50c | 215.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 51c | 207.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 360 | 44.7%161 W · 199 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 49c | 172.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 44c | 156.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 117.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 101.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 59c | 96.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 51c | 87.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 87.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Over | 52c | 87.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 48c | 49.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 39c | 39.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 61c | 39.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Under | 63c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 54c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.