Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55105d9f06375026ce5e656023a47630bea85175236fcf70596158ad73125d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Ici Japon Corp. Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 54c | 2,292$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.16 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp Blue | 45c | 1,673$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.46 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp Blue | 44c | 890.45$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.65 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 48c | 676.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 335$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 198$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 181.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 114.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Karmine Corp Blue | 45c | 86.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 72.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 56c | 31.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 44c | 28.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 173 | 42.2%73 W · 100 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 73c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.