Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb64efb5c94ff6aa13367ac2af80e5e5e64128d523573c52e94635c50f20f68d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Ici Japon Corp. Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 15c | 5,555$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.24 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 5,122$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.34 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.99 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 32c | 1,144$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 37c | 900$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.18 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 23c | 610.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 35c | 565.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 34c | 479.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 448.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 9c | 305$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 77c | 240$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 66c | 226.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 148.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 64c | 140.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 14c | 126.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 15c | 118.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 37c | 110.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 33c | 109.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 23c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 86.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 24c | 77.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 66c | 55.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 33c | 38.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Karmine Corp Blue | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Karmine Corp Blue | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (+1.5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.