CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs sleepers - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ad8ca44b85f9e59a69555952304b8f3be4c5a8202cc58d02a04b652854795a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, sleepers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 982.55$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 962$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed sleepers | 48c | 510$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked sleepers | 47c | 468.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed sleepers | 58c | 259$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked sleepers | 21c | 236.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed sleepers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked sleepers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 193.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed sleepers | 24c | 192$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed sleepers | 39c | 175.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 168$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 154$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 146.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked sleepers | 47c | 129.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed sleepers | 47c | 95.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed sleepers | 42c | 88.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked sleepers | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 83.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed sleepers | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 65.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked sleepers | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…952bbacked sleepers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 55.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed sleepers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed sleepers | 28c | 47.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked sleepers | 35c | 45.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed sleepers | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed sleepers | 50c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed sleepers | 32c | 37.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked sleepers | 45c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed sleepers | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked sleepers | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 22.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed sleepers | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs sleepers - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs sleepers (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 PlayoffsSpirit Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs sleepers - Map 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.