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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Aoi Ito

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aoi Itoof Jeline Vandromme, Aoi Ito
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x288c…3641backed Aoi Ito29c10,314$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.279430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jeline Vandromme70c9,562$6,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,725.579,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jeline Vandromme75c3,123$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.174,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Aoi Ito19c1,327$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.991,44928.4%412 W · 1,037 L+2.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Aoi Ito51c784.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.474042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Aoi Ito11c664$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.41,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jeline Vandromme64c517.87$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.334,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Aoi Ito10c485.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7722821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Jeline Vandromme52c385.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088637%328 W · 558 L-4.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aoi Ito49c344.69$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.358,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Jeline Vandromme18c336.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.999941.1%411 W · 588 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Aoi Ito15c242.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.475,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Aoi Ito32c231$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.676,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9883…5f49backed Jeline Vandromme61c162.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Aoi Ito50c158$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7259440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Aoi Ito15c110$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.524837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Aoi Ito24c103.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7848214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Jeline Vandromme20c99.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8918410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Jeline Vandromme60c78.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Jeline Vandromme48c77.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2339238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Jeline Vandromme38c76.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jeline Vandromme79c76.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.485868.4%587 W · 271 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jeline Vandromme53c68.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.889,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Aoi Ito63c67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9135187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Aoi Ito17c66.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Aoi Ito48c55.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971,22354.9%672 W · 551 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Aoi Ito22c51.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Jeline Vandromme28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5132935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed Aoi Ito47c32.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.094946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Aoi Ito37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.993762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Jeline Vandromme50c29.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Aoi Ito68c24.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked Jeline Vandromme67c20.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Jeline Vandromme50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.