Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62793008a342dd48179c5a7644d599d5601b980b76b9c23aff285c5cf37433d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Curmiof Sofya Lansere, Francesca Curmi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Francesca Curmi | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofya Lansere | 29c | 219.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Sofya Lansere | 26c | 206.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Sofya Lansere | 9c | 139.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Sofya Lansere | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Francesca Curmi | 51c | 131.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Francesca Curmi | 71c | 124.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sofya Lansere | 49c | 103.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofya Lansere | 29c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesca Curmi | 64c | 82.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Sofya Lansere | 35c | 78.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Francesca Curmi | 66c | 76.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francesca Curmi | 75c | 75.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Francesca Curmi | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Francesca Curmi | 59c | 62.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Francesca Curmi | 78c | 55.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofya Lansere | 41c | 52.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francesca Curmi | 72c | 52.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sofya Lansere | 44c | 43.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Curmi | 59c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…089abacked Francesca Curmi | 68c | 36.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesca Curmi | 55c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Francesca Curmi | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Francesca Curmi | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Curmi | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Francesca Curmi | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francesca Curmi | 76c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.