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Asian League · resolved market

Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes68c2,000$1,350 inWon+$649.997428.4%21 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No35c1,520$530 inLost-$530.161,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c1,156$395 inLost-$395.212,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes64c1,022$657 inWon+$365.2689038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c600$216 inLost-$2161,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No36c534.35$191 inLost-$190.6814041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Yes63c377$238 inWon+$139.495100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes64c249.99$160 inWon+$9059046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c188.79$69 inLost-$68.851,19646.2%553 W · 643 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes63c185.71$117 inWon+$68.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c162.71$28 inLost-$27.7198635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Yes63c120.52$76 inWon+$44.599100%9 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes65c116.98$76 inWon+$40.8379842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes64c100$64 inWon+$365450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Yes48c100$48 inWon+$52825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No32c97$31 inLost-$31.042,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Yes59c62.71$37 inWon+$25.711788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes57c54$31 inWon+$23.0733749.6%167 W · 170 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed Yes63c45$28 inWon+$16.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes56c44.57$25 inWon+$19.5720454.9%112 W · 92 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes62c43.25$27 inWon+$16.448831.8%28 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes50c40$20 inWon+$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.