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Asian League · resolved market

Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…cf16backed Under46c7,456$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.0214041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under74c4,854$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.5621542.3%91 W · 124 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c4,122$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.991,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over60c3,256$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under32c2,206$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+809%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under41c2,134$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.263938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under39c2,053$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.614540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over57c1,726$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.673619.4%7 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c1,697$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.391,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c1,629$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.799344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005156.9%29 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over45c1,524$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.0698635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over45c1,225$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1314651.4%75 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under37c1,206$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.76350.8%32 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+135.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,15549.3%569 W · 586 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5904252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over51c799.97$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.999455.3%52 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c679.91$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.682,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c666.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.531,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c648.08$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.772,62042%1,101 W · 1,519 L+51.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over28c630.39$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.381421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under49c614.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.66642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under36c606.07$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.771560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over65c599.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.998441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under44c550.07$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.245743.9%25 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under38c545.77$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3835833%118 W · 240 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over42c507.95$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3429632.8%97 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…4623backed Over63c477.11$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c468.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27234152.8%180 W · 161 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c443.45$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.541,08441.5%450 W · 634 L-39.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over3c410.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over56c371.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6875743.7%331 W · 426 L-35.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c356.3$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0423753.2%126 W · 111 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over53c352.06$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over54c320.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.332060%12 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over61c311.48$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under39c305.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1310742.1%45 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over67c296.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.978263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over65c289.43$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2828148.8%137 W · 144 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over35c289.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c288.36$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.081,19646.2%553 W · 643 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over62c286.82$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6289038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over75c286.36$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9618544.9%83 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over63c249.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4859046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under33c200$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.792821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under50c197.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.085954.2%32 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under37c192.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.967450%37 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…ec9fbacked Over56c169.32$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over70c168.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.315255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over65c153.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014362.2%89 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over56c150.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.116650%33 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over67c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c135.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.822,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over52c135.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-53.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under52c135.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3820454.9%112 W · 92 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.715345.1%69 W · 84 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under39c128.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c124.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.179355.4%439 W · 354 L+36.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c124.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7279842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Under41c121.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over60c121.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7330%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215234.9%53 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4620539%80 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Over45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over67c97.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.462630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over61c90.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over60c85.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5164142.7%274 W · 367 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Over13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under44c84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.046445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2055…1488backed Over66c80.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c80.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under47c79.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7558645.4%266 W · 320 L-23.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over55c71.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c70.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.133749.6%167 W · 170 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.149652.8%262 W · 234 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over60c66.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7919356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under55c65.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.132373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over69c65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.553842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over31c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.754339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under54c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4f…000ebacked Over63c57.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.071540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c55.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91,80750.2%908 W · 899 L+32.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over60c52.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5723855%131 W · 107 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128439.8%113 W · 171 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under78c49.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9913441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.