Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afc3955b93bf02bb27a9190a4bcfe8c5de2bf26fa13aae3174029b8558dd84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 80c | 14,059$11,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.04 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 6,767$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.86 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 78c | 3,997$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.94 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 62c | 1,848$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,276$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.68 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…6200backed Under | 77c | 966.23$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…1a59backed Over | 38c | 689.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 608.73$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 39c | 512.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 59c | 440.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 64c | 331.66$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 321.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 72c | 304.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 299.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 42c | 293.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 69c | 290.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 242.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 228.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 219.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 46c | 205.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 24c | 189.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 174.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 172.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 80c | 167.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 23c | 148.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 145.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 141.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 134.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 111.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1,365 | 45.5%621 W · 744 L | +14.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 30c | 109.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 13c | 103.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 708 | 52.4%371 W · 337 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 64c | 76.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 38c | 74.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed Over | 39c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed Over | 18c | 62.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 32c | 56.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 53.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…7249backed Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 37c | 49.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 57c | 48.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 48.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 56c | 46.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 40c | 43.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 66c | 43.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 80c | 42.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 34.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Under | 74c | 26.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Under | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Beijing Guoan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.