Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Kanon Sawashiro vs Kamonwan Yodpetch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63d1fed12e87b2a2a47f7dd33ca87563ceb895c91ba642448ad85c91604abb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kanon Sawashiroof Kanon Sawashiro, Kamonwan Yodpetch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kanon Sawashiro | 41c | 2,413$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.99 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kanon Sawashiro | 78c | 1,145$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kanon Sawashiro | 75c | 957.94$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 19c | 847$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 789.95$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 776.47$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 615.33$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.24 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 64c | 279$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kanon Sawashiro | 35c | 244.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 23c | 182.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kanon Sawashiro | 35c | 172.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 26c | 154.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kanon Sawashiro | 36c | 148.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kanon Sawashiro | 37c | 118.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kanon Sawashiro | 36c | 77.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 42c | 65.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 65c | 62.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 65c | 51.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 65c | 34.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 23.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 57c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.