MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64558d68b26123b267341c8525f84fc1b13977d1f1c52c2e15f1667e57d87788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Braves, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Braves | 61c | 27,023$16,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,390.91 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 39c | 11,049$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockies | 40c | 9,480$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.2 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Rockies | 33c | 6,777$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.5 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 28c | 6,653$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Braves | 71c | 4,148$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.09 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Braves | 23c | 3,980$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Braves | 72c | 2,579$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.88 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockies | 73c | 2,427$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.16 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 57c | 1,496$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.84 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Braves | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Braves | 73c | 1,144$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rockies | 43c | 777$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.34 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rockies | 29c | 647.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.75 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 56c | 605.36$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.36 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 28c | 430.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 71c | 282.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 72c | 279$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 38c | 184.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…9ca0backed Rockies | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Braves | 72c | 144.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Braves | 72c | 142$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Braves | 67c | 99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Braves | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Braves | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Braves | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockies | 28c | 66.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 73c | 65.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Braves | 69c | 61.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Rockies | 31c | 61.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rockies | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Braves | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…bb6bbacked Braves | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Braves | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.