Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Yue Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64564d3030d6f0f721c03d2d4a8bc771b5cfa4487c87de5b7d2aa9ed691dfb73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuanof Ruzic, Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ruzic | 56c | 5,200$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Yuan | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruzic | 33c | 4,362$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruzic | 24c | 4,218$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yuan | 66c | 2,646$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.22 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yuan | 60c | 2,220$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Ruzic | 64c | 1,741$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.23 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yuan | 59c | 1,106$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.34 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yuan | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yuan | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruzic | 32c | 817.88$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Ruzic | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Ruzic | 43c | 698.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruzic | 32c | 629.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Yuan | 42c | 605.32$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ruzic | 4c | 531$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Ruzic | 46c | 523.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuan | 67c | 500.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ruzic | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…7ca0backed Yuan | 69c | 468.59$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yuan | 72c | 423.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ruzic | 33c | 390.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yuan | 43c | 355.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Ruzic | 32c | 354.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ruzic | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yuan | 70c | 349$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Ruzic | 4c | 333.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Ruzic | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ruzic | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yuan | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yuan | 44c | 221.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Ruzic | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Ruzic | 48c | 211.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Ruzic | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Ruzic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ruzic | 41c | 165.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Yuan | 60c | 141.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Ruzic | 13c | 127.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Ruzic | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuan | 66c | 113.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yuan | 45c | 106$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Ruzic | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Ruzic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Ruzic | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ruzic | 37c | 93.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Yuan | 63c | 82.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Ruzic | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuan | 46c | 60.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Ruzic | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Ruzic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Ruzic | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yuan | 64c | 51.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Yuan | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Ruzic | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yuan | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Ruzic | 39c | 44.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ruzic | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yuan | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yuan | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yuan | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Ruzic | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…fb78backed Ruzic | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yuan | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Ruzic | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…aac7backed Ruzic | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Yuan | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Ruzic | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Yuan | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yuan | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.