MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b937a4bb806e38a9b5c0ed7050827b22151b76d1bfa47fcadd138c98e847e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 1,302$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 29c | 1,180$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.73 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 514.13$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Doosan Bears | 72c | 269.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Lotte Giants | 19c | 206.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 15c | 205.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Doosan Bears | 22c | 199.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 178.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 165.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 165.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…9150backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 127.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 119.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 113.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 113$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…12fdbacked Lotte Giants | 22c | 101.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 100.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 99.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 70c | 99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 90.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 34c | 75.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 32c | 74.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 75c | 63.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 61.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 61.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 57.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 38.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 34.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 33.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Lotte Giants | 63c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 20.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.