Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654ef8115193b993a2f001df25d0594ee09ed0146ea710e75b7f3d4f357c7ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,806 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 2,704$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.38 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,310$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 47c | 362$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 349.89$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 303.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 256.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 188.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 55c | 180.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 152.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 148.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 147.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Over | 47c | 143.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 121.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 106.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 49c | 79.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 74.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 51.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 46.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…48cabacked Under | 55c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Over | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 136.5this page
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons won
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 135.5Under won
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-2.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-3.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.