Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza vs Michaela Bayerlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b11fa81edd8b7abfb2884d61dcdb0b85ef17ca3183f5d70466a13599e248f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michaela Bayerlovaof Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza, Michaela Bayerlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 839.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Michaela Bayerlova | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Michaela Bayerlova | 76c | 455$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 31c | 416.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Michaela Bayerlova | 75c | 402.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 320.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michaela Bayerlova | 72c | 282.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Michaela Bayerlova | 74c | 224$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 203.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 162.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Michaela Bayerlova | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Michaela Bayerlova | 74c | 145.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Michaela Bayerlova | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 113.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michaela Bayerlova | 71c | 112.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Michaela Bayerlova | 77c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 26c | 85.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 26c | 76.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Michaela Bayerlova | 74c | 71.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Michaela Bayerlova | 74c | 69.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 68c | 59.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 69c | 55.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Michaela Bayerlova | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 74c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Michaela Bayerlova | 71c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.