Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663071201b8fa73c276d685547818ced550465b5a830bedbe6af2d7f2fe9fc26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,919 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 44c | 5,284$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.95 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers | 53c | 3,087$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.85 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Power Rangers | 71c | 1,601$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.78 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 940$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 37c | 804.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.15 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Power Rangers | 59c | 578.91$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 460.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 44c | 436$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Power Rangers | 55c | 406.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Power Rangers | 69c | 382.13$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Power Rangers | 43c | 372.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed L1ga Team | 42c | 357.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Power Rangers | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 22c | 245.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Power Rangers | 58c | 234.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Power Rangers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Power Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team | 44c | 177.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Power Rangers | 40c | 171.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 167.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Power Rangers | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 44c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team | 41c | 115.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 103.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Power Rangers | 36c | 103.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers | 49c | 102.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked Power Rangers | 57c | 88.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 79.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 75.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 42c | 66.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Power Rangers | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Power Rangers | 32c | 44.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Power Rangers | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 39.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed L1ga Team | 60c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…748ebacked Power Rangers | 59c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.