TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Power Rangersof L1ga Team, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,662 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf94f…9adabacked Power Rangers59c3,173$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.43762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team43c2,547$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.8851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f3…c8d5backed L1ga Team26c2,491$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers55c2,258$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.0751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked L1ga Team42c2,059$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.4118746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team38c1,888$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.862,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers53c1,328$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team48c737.11$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed L1ga Team44c699.78$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0746649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed L1ga Team51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers79c433.5$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.032,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17269835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked L1ga Team10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked L1ga Team43c386.16$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers71c321.01$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.361,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team34c318.49$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.812,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed L1ga Team39c310.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Power Rangers59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12325147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked L1ga Team41c259$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.194736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team39c223.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3792056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed L1ga Team46c218.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1929245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed L1ga Team39c210.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed L1ga Team49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9828244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team42c199.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3674…05a8backed L1ga Team22c184.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team37c178$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.861,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team49c170.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Power Rangers69c167.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9234561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Power Rangers61c164.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.314661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed L1ga Team15c116$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.846169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed L1ga Team46c109.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed L1ga Team11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117323.1%40 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…d3f1backed L1ga Team39c85.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.592832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team46c80.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3734045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers73c77.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.691,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team34c59.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Power Rangers53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.640047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Power Rangers57c53.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0120457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…748abacked L1ga Team41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.413026.2%34 W · 96 L-15.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed L1ga Team40c34.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed L1ga Team39c28.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1657654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8065backed Power Rangers57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Power Rangers59c22.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2715450%77 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed Power Rangers80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.