Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6665840d9fe6910c459273844b21590172e998071a0bc2dec18f7543c39072a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 35c | 3,008$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.45 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 64c | 1,330$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.54 | 1,243 | 49.7%618 W · 625 L | +16.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 68c | 604.73$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 65c | 597.6$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 36c | 525$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,805 | 51.3%926 W · 879 L | +54.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 65c | 483.35$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 64c | 414.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 549 | 29.5%162 W · 387 L | -36.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 36c | 411.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 64c | 161.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1,185 | 66.1%783 W · 402 L | +70.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 57.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1,145 | 30.7%352 W · 793 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 49.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2,255 | 33.1%746 W · 1,509 L | -76.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 39c | 45.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 306 | 46.4%142 W · 164 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 659 | 56.1%370 W · 289 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 28.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…6a31backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 61c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…15afbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.