Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda5f30abf4120f2bd8c9241da9f3961751b3a65dea5b8916ce90a234a3bc2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Team Vitality, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Vitality | 56c | 9,365$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286.75 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Shifters | 42c | 5,632$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.8 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 47c | 5,000$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.75 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Shifters | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Vitality | 57c | 4,018$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.32 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Vitality | 53c | 3,662$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.8 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Shifters | 43c | 3,370$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Vitality | 58c | 2,532$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.55 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Team Vitality | 56c | 2,341$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.75 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 44c | 2,100$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Vitality | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Vitality | 54c | 1,782$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.62 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Shifters | 44c | 1,543$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.35 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Shifters | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Shifters | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.06 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Team Vitality | 57c | 1,066$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Shifters | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Shifters | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 42c | 704.93$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.86 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Vitality | 57c | 702.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Shifters | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shifters | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Shifters | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Team Vitality | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Vitality | 54c | 324.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Shifters | 43c | 305.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Team Vitality | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Team Vitality | 57c | 273.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Vitality | 58c | 268.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Team Vitality | 63c | 268.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Vitality | 57c | 249.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Shifters | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Team Vitality | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Vitality | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Vitality | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Vitality | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…3d70backed Shifters | 47c | 61.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shifters | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Shifters | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Vitality | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Shifters | 54c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Vitality | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Shifters | 49c | 22.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Shifters | 54c | 18.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.