NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals G3: Pacers win and Haliburton scores 18+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671a4391bf9cff5bfed3f2b4c650535a989dbe839bc08e33d0ef212fe5d287b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 3,408$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.09 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +347.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…05f0backed No | 79c | 1,006$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b41abacked No | 78c | 820$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 711.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.27 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…56f6backed Yes | 21c | 670$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…c5c6backed Yes | 22c | 670$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…1fa0backed No | 79c | 615$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…f96bbacked No | 79c | 615$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 21c | 420$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f73…f7cbbacked No | 79c | 385$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…e05bbacked Yes | 22c | 325$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…f79bbacked Yes | 21c | 325$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…7fe9backed Yes | 44c | 282.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…a018backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…69efbacked Yes | 22c | 168.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Yes | 21c | 167.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 15c | 162.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 15c | 126.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…61d1backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 21c | 101.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Yes | 23c | 99.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…1806backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 61c | 64.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.