Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x672187727af785126137a807a6deba1d5c5232591901e8a04459b512d5874c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof UNCW Seahawks, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 51c | 34,675$17,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,944.18 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 13,761$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 9,980$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 9,812$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.56 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 8,809$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.41 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 4,761$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.78 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 2,594$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.13 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 875$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.75 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 808.24$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 368.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 211.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed William & Mary Tribe | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 114.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 89.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 74.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 49.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 48c | 29.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-4.5)this page
- William & Mary Tribe vs. UNCW SeahawksWilliam & Mary Tribe won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.